Tariffs & Policy
Who Actually Pays a Tariff, and Why the Answer Is It Depends
The importer writes the cheque, but that settles almost nothing about where the cost finally rests. Incidence is decided by…
Tariffs & Policy
The importer writes the cheque, but that settles almost nothing about where the cost finally rests. Incidence is decided by…
Tariffs & Policy
A phone assembled in one country from parts made in six others has to count as being from somewhere. The test that decides it…
Tariffs & Policy
Before anyone argues about a rate, somebody has to decide what the thing is. That decision is made in a numbering system most…
Tariffs & Policy
Two duties can raise the same revenue and land very differently. The difference is whether the charge tracks value or quantity.
Tariffs & Policy
The phrase sounds like special treatment and means close to the opposite. It is the default rate that everyone gets unless…
Tariffs & Policy
Duties are visible, published and comparable. Almost everything else that restricts trade is none of those things.
Tariffs & Policy
Trade remedy cases turn on comparing a price in one market with a price in another. Almost every step of that comparison is…
Tariffs & Policy
Duty rates in most schedules rise with each stage of processing. That gradient quietly decides where value gets added.
Tariffs & Policy
A quota that does not forbid imports but makes the ones beyond a threshold much more expensive. The interesting question is who…
Tariffs & Policy
The importer writes the cheque, but that settles almost nothing about where the cost finally rests. Incidence is decided by which…
Tariffs & Policy
A phone assembled in one country from parts made in six others has to count as being from somewhere. The test that decides it is…
Tariffs & Policy
Before anyone argues about a rate, somebody has to decide what the thing is. That decision is made in a numbering system most…
Supply Chains
Most manufacturers know who they buy from. Very few know who their suppliers buy from, and almost none know the tier below that.
Supply Chains
A part worth a fraction of a product's cost can stop its production completely. Value share and criticality are unrelated…
Supply Chains
Order volatility grows as it travels upstream. The amplification is caused by rational behaviour at every step, which is what makes…
Manufacturing
The building goes up quickly. Everything that makes the building produce sellable output takes far longer, and most of it cannot be…
Manufacturing
Unit cost falls with cumulative production rather than with calendar time. That single fact explains a great deal about industrial…
Manufacturing
Certain processes are uneconomic below a size, and that size decides how many plants a whole world can support.
Shipping & Logistics
Containerisation is usually described as making shipping cheaper. Its more important effect was making entirely new categories of…
Shipping & Logistics
Two journeys of equal length can cost very different amounts to ship. The reason is what the ship carries on the way back.
Shipping & Logistics
Goods can sit inside a country for months without legally having been imported. That gap is more useful than it sounds.
Markets & Commodities
However sophisticated a product is, someone had to dig up or grow what it is made of. That cost sets a limit on how cheap it can…
Markets & Commodities
The price quoted in market reports is rarely what a factory pays. Most industrial material moves under contracts that reference it…
Markets & Commodities
Someone has to decide what a barrel or a tonne is worth today. The mechanisms that produce that number vary far more than the…
How We Got Here
The oldest argument in trade economics is also the most frequently misquoted. What it actually says is narrower and more…
How We Got Here
The rules governing world trade were written by people with a specific and recent memory of what happens when trade collapses.
How We Got Here
Decades of negotiation reduced duties across industrial goods. The restrictions that mattered then moved into forms that…